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News

ECB: Rate cuts to be the preferred instrument of easing - Rabobank
According to analysts at Rabobank, in recent weeks, the ECB has signalled the potential of renewed easing and they believe rate cuts are likely to be | 18/07/2019 14:33
According to analysts at Rabobank, in recent weeks, the ECB has signalled the potential of renewed easing and they believe rate cuts are likely to be the preferred instrument.
Key Quotes
“Further rate cuts will probably be accompanied by some form of a tiered deposit rate scheme to ensure that these cuts have the desired effect on the real economy.”
“We believe a substantial amount of excess reserves needs to be exempted from the ECB’s negative deposit rate in order to fully mitigate the additional costs of rate cuts on the banking sector.”
“Nonetheless, looking at evidence from Japan, we don’t see any reason to assume that such a large decline in reserves subject to the negative policy rate would cause the pass-through of rates to break down.”
“However, the ECB will have to look carefully at the exact design of any tiered system, both in conjunction with their other policy tools and in terms of distributional effects on the various types of banks in the Eurozone.”
Popular News
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Turkey Budget Balance increased to 7.8B in November from previous -14.9B
Turkey Budget Balance increased to 7.8B in November from previous -14.9B | 16/12/2019 08:00
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When are the UK Preliminary PMIs and how could it affect GBP/USD?
Monday's UK economic docket highlights the Preliminary readings of the UK Manufacturing and Services PMIs, due at 09:30GMT. The UK Manufacturing PMI i | 16/12/2019 07:53
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South Korea Trade Balance dipped from previous $3.37B to $3.34B in November
South Korea Trade Balance dipped from previous $3.37B to $3.34B in November | 16/12/2019 07:40
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UK: Flash PMIs likely to improve in the December – TDS
TD Securities analysts are looking for a bit of improvement in the UK’s December flash PMIs, although they're unlikely to bounce all the way back to t | 16/12/2019 07:36
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USD/CHF stabilising here – Commerzbank
According to Axel Rudolph, analyst at Commerzbank, USD/CHF stabilised marginally above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at .9800/.9799. Key Quotes “Onl | 16/12/2019 07:26
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When are the German/ Eurozone flash PMIs and how could they affect EUR/USD?
Amongst the Euro area economies, the German and the composite Eurozone PMI reports hold more relevance, in terms of its impact on the European currenc | 16/12/2019 07:21
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Colombia Industrial output (YoY) rose from previous 0.3% to 2.1% in October
Colombia Industrial output (YoY) rose from previous 0.3% to 2.1% in October | 16/12/2019 07:20
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India WPI Inflation came in at 0.58% below forecasts (0.74%) in November
India WPI Inflation came in at 0.58% below forecasts (0.74%) in November | 16/12/2019 07:08
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Germany: Manufacturing PMI likely to bounce higher in December – TDS
Analysts at TD Securities think that Germany's manufacturing PMI can bounce a bit higher again in December, though with a smaller improvement than the | 16/12/2019 07:05
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Turkey 3mth quarterly jobless average fell from previous 14% to 13.8% in September
Turkey 3mth quarterly jobless average fell from previous 14% to 13.8% in September | 16/12/2019 07:02
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EUR/USD: Consolidation here – Commerzbank
Axel Rudolph, analyst at Commerzbank, notes that EUR/USD is trading back below the 200 day moving average at 1.1153, having last week briefly shot up | 16/12/2019 07:02
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Norway Trade Balance increased to 18.8B in November from previous 5.9B
Norway Trade Balance increased to 18.8B in November from previous 5.9B | 16/12/2019 07:00
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AUD/USD sidelined below 0.6900 handle
The AUD/USD pair was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band through the Asian session on Monday and consolidated the previous session's sharp intra | 16/12/2019 06:54
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ECB’s Holzmann: Possibility of rate change if 2020 trough passes
Reuters reports the latest comments from the European Central Bank (ECB) governing Council member Robert Holzmann, as he says that there is a possibil | 16/12/2019 06:52
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USD/INR extends the bounce to test 71.00 on dovish RBI’s Das
Speaking at an event in Mumbai on Monday, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Indian central bank, Governor and MPC Chair Shaktikanta Das said that there | 16/12/2019 06:50
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FX option expiries for Dec 16 NY cut
FX option expiries for Dec 16 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1030 2.3bn 1.1035 536m 1.1058 651m | 16/12/2019 06:28
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US-China trade and global PMIs amongst market movers today – Danske Bank
According to Danske Bank analysts, markets will continue to watch US-China trade talks closely and any signals on the phase-one deal. Key Quotes “Othe | 16/12/2019 06:25
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USD/JPY clings to modest gains, just below mid-109.00s
The USD/JPY pair edged higher on the first day of a new trading week, albeit lacked any strong follow-through and remained well within the previous se | 16/12/2019 06:15
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China: ‘Phase one’ deal reduces tariff drag in 2020 – Standard Chartered
Analysts at Standard Chartered note that on 13 December, the US and China announced a phase one trade deal and cancelled the proposed tariff hikes on | 16/12/2019 06:11
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Forex Today: Caution over deal details offset better China data; Brexit optimism, PMIs to dominate
US-China trade deal: Despite both sides agreeing on the Phase One trade deal on Friday, markets traded with caution, as they remained sceptical over t | 16/12/2019 06:08
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What's next in store after phase one of US-China trade deal – Danske Bank
Danske Bank analysts note that the US and China both announced on Friday that a phase-one deal had been reached, which marked a shift from escalation | 16/12/2019 05:39
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Australia: Fiscal outlook downgraded – Westpac
Westpac analysts point out that Australia’s budget surplus was cut by $21.5bn over four years as softer economic outlook hits revenues. Key Quotes “Th | 16/12/2019 05:15
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USD positioning to continue to react to incoming trade deal details – ANZ
According to CFTC positioning data for the week ending 10 December 2019, leveraged funds and asset managers changed stances on the dollar as the forme | 16/12/2019 05:10
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GBP/USD: Recovery falters just shy of 1.3400 ahead of UK PMIs
The pound remains supported by the UK PM Johnson’s commitment to sailing the UK out of the European Union (EU) swiftly before January 31st, 2020 after | 16/12/2019 04:49
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China: Industrial sector stabilising – NAB
Gerard Burg, senior economist at National Australia Bank, points out that the “Phase One” trade deal between the US and China has now been concluded w | 16/12/2019 04:43
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Mexican Deputy ForeignMin: Mexico will never accept 'disguised' labour inspectors under USMCA
Mexico’s Deputy Foreign Minister for North America, Jesus Seade, tweeted out on Sunday, objecting a part in the new United States-Mexico-Canada Agreem | 16/12/2019 04:42
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Australia: Slowing economy wipes out billions from receipts outlook – ANZ
ANZ analysts note that Australia’s Government downgraded its expectation of the underlying cash surplus in 2019-20 to AUD5.0bn (0.3% of GDP) and acros | 16/12/2019 04:39
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Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at -4.6% below forecasts (0.7%) in October
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) came in at -4.6% below forecasts (0.7%) in October | 16/12/2019 04:32
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USD/IDR holds upside above 14k on dismal Indonesian trade data
According to the latest trade data published by the Indonesian Statistics Bureau, the country posted a bigger-than-expected trade deficit in November. | 16/12/2019 04:21
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Indonesia Trade Balance below forecasts ($-0.13B) in November: Actual ($-1.33B)
Indonesia Trade Balance below forecasts ($-0.13B) in November: Actual ($-1.33B) | 16/12/2019 04:18
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