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News

China: Risk of growth deceleration in 2H 2019 remains high - BBVA
Key economic reports from China were released today. According to the Research Department at BBVA, the growth slowdown in July is broad-based as all i | 14/08/2019 19:59
Key economic reports from China were released today. According to the Research Department at BBVA, the growth slowdown in July is broad-based as all indicators are below the previous readings and the market consensus.
Key Quotes:
“A batch of July economic indicators are announced today, together with the previously released trade and credit data, suggesting that the growth further decelerated amid the escalation of US-China trade war and the domestic structural obstacles such as debt overhang and financial risks.”
“Although the US president Trump postponed the tariff hike of some Chinese exports to December, which we believe accounts for around 60% of the remaining USD 300 billion shipment from China, trade war uncertainties are likely to persist for a long period of time.”
“Looking ahead, the growth outlook in 2H 2019 depends on the authorities’ policy stance. We anticipate more monetary and fiscal easing measures to be deployed to sustain growth momentum and offset intensifying headwinds from unsettled trade tensions. Altogether, we maintain our 2019 GDP forecasting at 6% (the authorities’ target: 6-6.5%).”
“The risk of growth deceleration in 2H 2019 remains high.”
Popular News
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Eurozone week ahead: A new ECB, German politics and some data - Danske Bank
Next week, the economic calendar showed the European Central Bank (ECB) will have its meeting, the first with Christine Lagarde as president. Analysts | 06/12/2019 20:30
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Canada: Employment plunging in November – NFB
Matthieu Arseneau, analyst at the National Bank of Canada points out that the Canadian employment report released today showed the worst employment pu | 06/12/2019 20:25
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USD/JPY: Pair to come out as one of the biggest movers in the market next week – ING
Analysts at ING argue the USD/JPY looks bearish going into next week considering the many key events ahead, and see it trading in 107.00-109.80 range. | 06/12/2019 20:20
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EUR/USD: Performance of euro will be driven by developments overseas rather than the ECB – MUFG
Analysts at MUFG Bank, presented a trade idea for next week of shorting the EUR/USD pair at 1.1060, with a target at 1.0950 and stop-loss at 1.1120. T | 06/12/2019 20:06
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GBP/USD ends Friday on a strong note ahead of election week
The GBP/USD pair rebounded late on Friday, trimming daily losses and consolidated a weekly gain of more than two hundred pips, ahead of critical days | 06/12/2019 20:01
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United States Consumer Credit Change above forecasts ($16B) in October: Actual ($18.91B)
United States Consumer Credit Change above forecasts ($16B) in October: Actual ($18.91B) | 06/12/2019 20:00
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EUR/JPY price analysis: Euro drops against yen, trades near 120.00 handle
EUR/JPY is trading in a bear trend below the 200-day simple moving average (DMA). However, the spot has been correcting below the 121.00 handle in the last we | 06/12/2019 18:54
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Oil: More production cuts and possible US-China deal to provide support – Rabobank
Crude oil prices rose following the OPEC+ meeting. According to analysts at Rabobank, the deeper cuts should also a tailwind for oil prices going into | 06/12/2019 18:42
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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count down to 663 from previous 668
United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count down to 663 from previous 668 | 06/12/2019 18:02
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EUR/USD: Remaining range bound – ING
Analysts at ING see the EUR/USD pair with a neutral bias for next week and expect it to trade between 1.0980 and 1.1100. Their one-month target is 1.1 | 06/12/2019 17:53
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US: Trend in hiring has turned decidedly higher – Wells Fargo
The November employment report surpised to the upside with the economy adding 266K jobs. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, the trend in hiring has | 06/12/2019 17:37
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AUD/USD price analysis: Australian dollar bounces from daily lows, trades near 0.6840 level
AUD/USD is trading in a tight range just above the 50 and 100 simple moving averages (DMAs). Although the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) was way better than anticipate | 06/12/2019 17:30
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Gold price analysis: XAU/USD extends post-NFP drop, trades near $1460/oz
Gold is having a sharp intraday move down below the 50 and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) came in much better than antici | 06/12/2019 16:48
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OPEC+ agrees to cut production by further 500K barrels, WTI hits monthly highs
WTI futures jumped toward $59.090 after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies's meeting ended. Crude reached the highes | 06/12/2019 16:10
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USD/JPY price analysis: Greenback retraces NFP-inspired spike against yen
USD/JPY is trading below the 109.00 figure and the 50/200-day simple moving average (DMA) on the daily time frame as the market is in a tight range for the thi | 06/12/2019 15:44
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BOC Governor Stephen Poloz to step down in June 2020, USD/CAD consolidates gains
Stephen Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will be stepping down in 2020. USD/CAD is trading around 1.3250, consolidating its gains after Canada's | 06/12/2019 15:07
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Turkey Treasury Cash Balance rose from previous -11.89B to 7.9B in November
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance rose from previous -11.89B to 7.9B in November | 06/12/2019 15:03
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United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above forecasts (97) in December: Actual (99.2)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above forecasts (97) in December: Actual (99.2) | 06/12/2019 15:00
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United States Wholesale Inventories below forecasts (0.2%) in October: Actual (0.1%)
United States Wholesale Inventories below forecasts (0.2%) in October: Actual (0.1%) | 06/12/2019 15:00
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USD/RUB trims gains near 63.70, remains under pressure
The Russian ruble has now managed to regain some buying interest after a negative start of the session and is now prompting USD/RUB to retreat to the | 06/12/2019 14:38
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GBP/USD price analysis: Pound corrects down after stellar US Nonfarm Payrolls
Following November’s consolidation, the spot eventually broke to the upside hitting levels not seen since early May of this year. In the New York session, the | 06/12/2019 14:36
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USD/CAD surges through mid-1.3200s on upbeat NFP, disappointing Canadian jobs data
The USD/CAD pair broke out of its daily consolidation phase and rallied over 80 pips in the last hour, hitting fresh session tops around the 1.3255-60 | 06/12/2019 14:31
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US Dollar Index leaps to 97.70 on upbeat-Payrolls
The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY) has quickly left the area of 4-week lows and climbed to the 97.65/70 band, or 2-day highs in the | 06/12/2019 14:10
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EUR/USD price analysis: NFP smashes expectations, euro drops near 1.1080 level
EUR/USD, on the daily chart, is trading in a downtrend below the 200-day simple moving average (DMA). The Nonfarm Payrolls smashed expectations with 266k vs. | 06/12/2019 14:00
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Gold drops to fresh multi-day lows on upbeat NFP report
Gold faded an intraday bullish spike to the $1480 area and tumbled to fresh multi-day lows, around the $1465 region in reaction to upbeat US monthly j | 06/12/2019 13:58
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Australia: Hoping for an end of year lift – ANZ
ANZ analysts suggest that after a very busy week in terms of data and the RBA statement, the week ahead is quieter for Australia, but still important, | 06/12/2019 13:50
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ECB and Fed amongst market movers ahead – Danske Bank
Danske Bank analysts suggest that at Wednesday's FOMC meeting, they are expecting the US Fed to stay on hold, particularly in light of the recent upwa | 06/12/2019 13:43
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Canada: Employment decreased by 71.2K in November vs. +10.0K expected
The data published by Statistics Canada this Friday revealed that the total number of employed people decreased by 71.2K in November as compared to -1 | 06/12/2019 13:38
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US: Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 266K in November vs. 180K expected
The US unemployment rate edged lower to 3.5% in November, 3.6% expected. Wage growth inflation also bettered expectations and ticked higher to 3.1%. | 06/12/2019 13:34
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EUR/USD drops to daily lows post-Payrolls, around 1.1070
The selling interest around the single currency is now picking up pace and is forcing EUR/USD to drop to session lows around 1.1070. EUR/USD offered o | 06/12/2019 13:31
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