Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD, hit by risk appetite, finds support below $1,770

Gold futures have dropped sharply on Friday, hurt by a combination of factors that have boosted appetite for risk. The yellow metal has depreciated mo  |  15/10/2021 18:33
  • Gold, rejected at $1,800, retreats to levels below $1,770.
  • Risk appetite and higher US bonds have hit gold futures.
  • XAU/USD's bearish momentum might increase below $1,745.

Gold futures have dropped sharply on Friday, hurt by a combination of factors that have boosted appetite for risk. The yellow metal has depreciated more than $30 after having topped at $1,800 on Thursday, to find supporet right below $1,770 during the afternoon US trading session.

Upbeat data and a rebound of US yields have weighed on gold

Bullion has given away Thursday’s gains with a risk rally and the recovery of US T-Bond yields denting the appeal of the safe-haven metal. The upbeat quarterly results at major banks with Goldman Sachs reporting a 66% increase on earnings in the third quarter to conclude a string of better than expected results this week have boosted investors’ optimism, offsetting fears about inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions.

On the other hand, long-term US T-Bond yields have bounced up, with the 10-year bond, which had dropped from the 1.61% top hit on Monday to a 1.51% low on Thursday, has picked up to 1.55% on Friday, curbing attractive for gold, further.

The macroeconomic calendar has not been of any particular help for the safe-haven gold, either. The US retail sales have increased by 0.7% in September, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Friday,  beating market expectations of a 0.4% increment, although partially due to higher prices, namely in auto dealers who are struggling with a global shortage of computer chips.

XAU/USD: Breach of 1.745 support might accelerate the decline

From a technical perspective, XAU/USD seems to have found buyers at $1.770 area to take a breather after a 1.8% reversal. Below here, the next potential support area lies at $1,745 (October 6 low) which would open the path towards a key support area at $1,725 (September 29, 30 low).

On the upside, resistance levels remain at $1,807 (Sept. 15 high) ahead of $1.830, July and September’s peak. If that level is surpassed, the next potential target might be June 8 and 11 highs at $1,905.

Technical levels to watch

 

 

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